Illinois 20 votes


Biden is favored to win

7%
93%
42.7%
57.3%
-7.29
-14.6
Candidate Predicted Vote % Win Prob.
Donald Trump 42.7% 7%
Joe Biden 57.3% 93%

About Illinois

Illinois is mostly Democratic, with 48% of registered voters being Democrats, 33% Republican, and 19% other. Illinois is 78% white and 14% Black. In addition, Illinois is 71% Christian. Some key issues in Illinois include population loss, stagnant unemployment, and and high property tax rates. A fun fact about Illinois is that Illinois is home to the Sears Tower, which is 1450 feet tall!


Chance of winning over time

We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.

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Nov 3

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Demographically similar states

All states


Past Election History

Clinton 55.8% Trump 33.8%
Obama 57.6% Romney 40.7%
Obama 61.9% McCain 36.8%
Kerry 54.8% Bush 44.5%
Gore 54.6% Bush 42.6%

Recent polls

Biden 55.0% Trump 38.0%
Biden 54.1% Trump 38.2%
Biden 52.9% Trump 39.8%
Polls consist of LV and RV polls ranked C and above gathered by FiveThirtyEight.