Minnesota 10 votes
Biden is favored to win
| Candidate | Predicted Vote % | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 46.3% | 22% |
| Joe Biden | 53.7% | 78% |
About Minnesota
Minnesota has historically been slightly Democratic, although it is considered a tossup, with a BPI of -0.85. There are 8 Congressional House seats, 5 of which are occupied by Democrats. The 1st and 7th Districts are close down ballot races this election cycle. Minnesota has a fairly high white Non-Hispanic population (approx. 82.50%) and has a low percentage of college graduates (approx. 35.4%). The cost of voting index is low, but still about average at -0.57: no ID is required for mail in ballots, which do not need to be requested, and notarization is required for non-registered voters. Hot button issues for Minnesotans are Gun Control, Abortion, Paid Family and Medical Leave, and the ERA.
Chance of winning over time
We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.
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Nov 3
Oct 12