Oklahoma 7 votes
Trump is favored to win
97%
3%
61.4%
38.6%
19.38
+22.8
| Candidate | Predicted Vote % | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 61.4% | 97% |
| Joe Biden | 38.6% | 3% |
About Oklahoma
Oklahoma is solidly Republican, with hot button issues including health care, education reform, and lowering taxes. Only one Congressional district has a Democratic incumbent, and the state voted overwhelmingly for Trump in 2016. In July 2020, about half of the state was determined to be Native American land in a 5-4 Supreme Court vote. The state capitol building is the only one in the world built on top of working oil wells, exemplifying their state motto: labor omnia vincit, or work conquers all.
Chance of winning over time
We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.
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Nov 3
Oct 12
Past Election History
Clinton 28.9%
Trump 65.3%
Obama 33.2%
Romney 66.8%
Obama 34.3%
McCain 65.6%
Kerry 34.4%
Bush 65.6%
Gore 38.4%
Bush 60.3%
Recent polls
SoonerPoll.comLV 10/20
Biden 36.5%
Trump 58.5%
SoonerPoll.comLV 9/8
Biden 35.2%
Trump 59.6%
SoonerPoll.comLV 8/31
Biden 34.7%
Trump 59.6%