South Dakota 3 votes
Trump is favored to win
92%
8%
59.2%
40.8%
15.26
+18.3
| Candidate | Predicted Vote % | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 59.2% | 92% |
| Joe Biden | 40.8% | 8% |
About South Dakota
South Dakota, home of Mount Rushmore, is a squarely Republican state. All three members of Congress and the governor are Republican. The last time it voted Democrat was in 1964 for Lyndon B Johnson. 81.5% of its population is White. However, it has a large Native American population, with 9% belonging to an indigenous group.
Chance of winning over time
We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.
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Nov 3
Oct 12
Past Election History
Clinton 31.7%
Trump 61.5%
Obama 39.9%
Romney 57.9%
Obama 44.7%
McCain 53.2%
Kerry 38.4%
Bush 59.9%
Gore 37.6%
Bush 60.3%
Recent polls
Nielson Brothers PollingLV 10/28
Biden 40.0%
Trump 55.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyLV 10/21
Biden 40.0%
Trump 51.0%