Washington 12 votes
Biden is favored to win
3%
97%
40.6%
59.4%
-7.44
-18.8
| Candidate | Predicted Vote % | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 40.6% | 3% |
| Joe Biden | 59.4% | 97% |
About Washington
Washington state has historically leaned blue. They have voted Democratic in the past five general elections. Both senators are Democrats, as are seven out of their ten representatives. They have mandatory mail-in voting across the entire state. All registered voters don't declare their party affiliation. Washington's biggest cities lie in their lowlands (central Washington) and that region is what makes up the majority of the Democratic vote. Interestingly, in Washington state, it is a misdemeanor to walk about in public if you have a common cold.
Chance of winning over time
We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.
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Nov 3
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Past Election History
Clinton 54.3%
Trump 38.1%
Obama 56.2%
Romney 41.3%
Obama 57.3%
McCain 40.3%
Kerry 52.8%
Bush 45.6%
Gore 50.2%
Bush 44.6%
Recent polls
Public Policy PollingLV 10/15
Biden 60.0%
Trump 37.0%
SurveyUSALV 10/12
Biden 55.0%
Trump 34.0%
Strategies 360RV 9/14
Biden 58.0%
Trump 36.0%