Alaska 3 votes
Trump is favored to win
68%
32%
52.7%
47.3%
9.0
+5.3
| Candidate | Predicted Vote % | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 52.7% | 68% |
| Joe Biden | 47.3% | 32% |
About Alaska
Alaska historically leans Republican, though Democrats have been gaining some ground in recent years. Environmental issues and sustainable energy are especially important to Alaskans. Fun fact: one of every 58 Alaskans is a registered pilot, and one out of 59 owns an airplane.
Chance of winning over time
We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.
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Nov 3
Oct 12
Past Election History
Clinton 36%
Trump 48%
Obama 41%
Romney 51%
Obama 37%
McCain 59%
Kerry 36%
Bush 61%
Gore 28.0%
Bush 59%
Recent polls
Gravis MarketingLV 10/28
Biden 43.0%
Trump 52.0%
Biden 39.0%
Trump 45.0%
Alaska Survey ResearchLV 10/4
Biden 46.0%
Trump 50.0%
Biden 46.0%
Trump 47.0%