Florida 29 votes
Biden is favored to win
| Candidate | Predicted Vote % | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 48.7% | 42% |
| Joe Biden | 51.3% | 58% |
About Florida
Florida has been an incredibly important swing state in recent years, with the 2000 election in Florida being decided by fewer than 1,000 voters. The balance in Florida can also be seen in the composition of their Representatives, with a nearly even mix of 13 Democrats and 14 Republicans representing the state in the House. Important issues vary by party affiliation, with Republicans more interested in the Presidential candidate's stances on the economy and immigration, and Democrats more interested in positions on healthcare and the environment. Other issues Floridians look out for include gun legislation with the mass shooting in Parkland, Florida back in 2018. Florida's highest point is only 345 feet above sea level, and it is the state with the most toll roads and bridges in the United States.
Chance of winning over time
We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.
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Nov 3
Oct 12