Idaho 4 votes
Trump is favored to win
97%
3%
60.8%
39.2%
18.41
+21.6
| Candidate | Predicted Vote % | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 60.8% | 97% |
| Joe Biden | 39.2% | 3% |
About Idaho
Idaho is historically a Republican state, with a Republican congressional makeup and Republican voting tendencies in the presidential election. The most important policy in Idaho relates to tax breaks for businesses. Constituents also care about marijuana legalization, Medicaid expansion, prison and justice reform, and education spending. Idaho has four left-leaning counties: Latah, Ada, Blaine, and Teton. Idaho is nicknamed “The Gem State” because almost every known type of gemstone has been found in the state, including the largest diamond discovered in the United States.
Chance of winning over time
We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.
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Nov 3
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Past Election History
Clinton 27.5%
Trump 59.3%
Obama 32.6%
Romney 64.5%
Obama 36.1%
McCain 61.5%
Kerry 30.3%
Bush 68.5%
Gore 27.6%
Bush 67.2%
Recent polls
Spry StrategiesLV 9/1
Biden 34.48%
Trump 59.66%