Rhode Island 4 votes
Biden is favored to win
10%
90%
42.5%
57.5%
-9.39
-14.9
| Candidate | Predicted Vote % | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 42.5% | 10% |
| Joe Biden | 57.5% | 90% |
About Rhode Island
Rhode Island is known for being the smallest state, yet has more electoral votes than larger states with four. Typically, those four votes go to the Democrats, with the Democratic candidate winning the state for the past five elections; their entire Congressional delegation and their governor are Democratic. The state has been divided about the issues of gun control and abortion, though many Rhode Islanders support bills that outlaw the sale of semi-automatic rifles and protect legalized abortion, according to a 2018 poll.
Chance of winning over time
We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.
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Nov 3
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Past Election History
Clinton 54.4%
Trump 38.9%
Obama 62.7%
Romney 35.2%
Obama 63.1%
McCain 35.2%
Kerry 59.4%
Bush 38.7%
Gore 61%
Bush 31.9%