Maine 3 votes


Biden is favored to win

3%
97%
42.3%
57.7%
-2.89
-15.5
Candidate Predicted Vote % Win Prob.
Donald Trump 42.3% 3%
Joe Biden 57.7% 97%

About Maine

Maine is a state in New England that borders the Atlantic Ocean and is the northeasternmost state in the continental United States. It is sparsely populated and generally cold, and about 90% of the state is covered by forests. Voter registration favors the Democratic Party with 4 registered Democrats to every 3 registered Republicans, but it also has a sizeable 35.9% of voters not registered with either major party. Mainers are primarily concerned about the environment, healthcare, and the economy. As of right now, Maine is the only state that uses ranked-choice voting at the state and federal levels.

Note: Maine distributes some electoral votes according to the winner of each congressional district. Since the second congressional district votes less consistently with the state as a whole, it was simulated separately in our model. View Maine CD-2.


Chance of winning over time

We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Nov 3

Oct 12


Demographically similar states

All states


Past Election History

Clinton 47.8% Trump 44.9%
Obama 56.3% Romney 41%
Obama 57.7% McCain 40.4%
Kerry 53.6% Bush 44.6%
Gore 49.1% Bush 44%

Recent polls

SurveyUSALV 10/27
Biden 53.0% Trump 40.0%
Biden 55.0% Trump 41.0%
Polls consist of LV and RV polls ranked C and above gathered by FiveThirtyEight.