Maine CD-2 1 vote


We've got atossup

48%
52%
49.8%
50.2%
3.51
-0.3
Candidate Predicted Vote % Win Prob.
Donald Trump 49.8% 48%
Joe Biden 50.2% 52%

About Maine

Maine is a state in New England that borders the Atlantic Ocean and is the northeasternmost state in the continental United States. It is sparsely populated and generally cold, and about 90% of the state is covered by forests. Voter registration favors the Democratic Party with 4 registered Democrats to every 3 registered Republicans, but it also has a sizeable 35.9% of voters not registered with either major party. Mainers are primarily concerned about the environment, healthcare, and the economy. As of right now, Maine is the only state that uses ranked-choice voting at the state and federal levels.

Note: Maine distributes some electoral votes according to the winner of each congressional district. Since the second congressional district votes less consistently with the state as a whole, it was simulated separately in our model. View Maine.


Chance of winning over time

We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.

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Demographically similar states

All states


Past Election History

Clinton 41% Trump 51%
Obama 53% Romney 44%
Obama 55% McCain 43%
Kerry 52% Bush 46%
Gore 47% Bush 46%

Recent polls

Biden 50.0% Trump 50.0%
Biden 49.8% Trump 46.8%
Biden 46.5% Trump 43.0%
Biden 40.0% Trump 49.0%
Biden 46.78% Trump 45.49%
Biden 47.0% Trump 45.0%
Biden 53.0% Trump 44.0%
Polls consist of LV and RV polls ranked C and above gathered by FiveThirtyEight.