Michigan 16 votes
Biden is favored to win
32%
68%
46.9%
53.1%
-0.3
-6.3
| Candidate | Predicted Vote % | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 46.9% | 32% |
| Joe Biden | 53.1% | 68% |
About Michigan
Hot button issues in Michigan include education funding, funding and fixing of roads, redistricting, health care, the environment, jobs, saving the postal service, agriculture, and clean drinking water. Michigan is the only place in the world with a floating post office. The J.W. Westcott II is the only boat in the world that delivers mail to ships while they are still underway. They have been operating for 125 years.
Chance of winning over time
We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.
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Nov 3
Oct 12
Past Election History
Clinton 47%
Trump 47.3%
Obama 54%
Romney 44.8%
Obama 57.3%
McCain 40.9%
Kerry 51.2%
Bush 47.8%
Gore 51.3%
Bush 46.2%
Recent polls
Research Co.LV 11/1
Biden 50.0%
Trump 43.0%
Change ResearchLV 11/1
Biden 51.0%
Trump 44.0%
IpsosLV 11/1
Biden 53.0%
Trump 43.0%
Opinion Savvy/InsiderAdvantageLV 10/31
Biden 48.8%
Trump 46.7%
AtlasIntelLV 10/31
Biden 48.3%
Trump 45.9%
Trafalgar GroupLV 10/31
Biden 45.8%
Trump 48.3%
Emerson CollegeLV 10/31
Biden 52.0%
Trump 45.5%
Morning ConsultLV 10/31
Biden 51.8%
Trump 44.5%
Targoz Market ResearchLV 10/30
Biden 53.0%
Trump 39.0%
SSRSRV 10/30
Biden 54.0%
Trump 40.0%
Biden 52.1%
Trump 45.0%
RMG ResearchLV 10/29
Biden 51.0%
Trump 44.0%
Trafalgar GroupLV 10/28
Biden 46.6%
Trump 49.1%
EPIC-MRALV 10/28
Biden 48.0%
Trump 41.0%
Biden 52.4%
Trump 42.0%
Biden 49.0%
Trump 41.0%
IpsosLV 10/26
Biden 53.0%
Trump 43.0%
Glengariff GroupLV 10/25
Biden 49.3%
Trump 41.6%
ABC News/The Washington PostRV 10/25
Biden 49.0%
Trump 44.0%
Gravis MarketingLV 10/24
Biden 55.0%
Trump 42.0%
YouGovRV 10/21
Biden 51.0%
Trump 42.0%
Biden 51.0%
Trump 40.0%
IpsosLV 10/20
Biden 52.0%
Trump 44.0%
Morning ConsultLV 10/20
Biden 52.0%
Trump 44.0%
Change ResearchLV 10/19
Biden 51.0%
Trump 44.0%
EPIC-MRALV 10/19
Biden 48.0%
Trump 39.0%
Biden 51.0%
Trump 41.0%
Data for ProgressLV 10/18
Biden 50.0%
Trump 45.0%
Trafalgar GroupLV 10/18
Biden 44.9%
Trump 46.7%
Zia PollLV 10/18
Biden 45.0%
Trump 49.0%
Harris Insights & AnalyticsLV 10/15
Biden 54.0%
Trump 43.0%
Trafalgar GroupLV 10/14
Biden 45.9%
Trump 46.5%
RMG ResearchLV 10/13
Biden 48.0%
Trump 42.0%
IpsosLV 10/13
Biden 51.0%
Trump 44.0%
EPIC-MRALV 10/12
Biden 48.0%
Trump 39.0%
CiviqsLV 10/11
Biden 52.0%
Trump 43.0%
Biden 48.0%
Trump 40.0%
Morning ConsultLV 10/11
Biden 51.0%
Trump 44.0%
YouGovLV 10/9
Biden 52.0%
Trump 46.0%
Baldwin Wallace UniversityLV 10/8
Biden 50.2%
Trump 43.2%
Emerson CollegeLV 10/7
Biden 54.2%
Trump 43.4%
National Research Inc.LV 10/6
Biden 51.0%
Trump 42.0%
IpsosLV 10/6
Biden 51.0%
Trump 43.0%
Change ResearchLV 10/4
Biden 51.0%
Trump 43.0%
Glengariff GroupLV 10/3
Biden 48.0%
Trump 39.2%
Trafalgar GroupLV 9/28
Biden 48.7%
Trump 47.1%
Marist CollegeRV 9/23
Biden 52.0%
Trump 43.0%
ALG ResearchLV 9/23
Biden 52.0%
Trump 44.0%
Trafalgar GroupLV 9/22
Biden 46.0%
Trump 46.7%
Baldwin Wallace UniversityLV 9/22
Biden 49.9%
Trump 41.9%
YouGovRV 9/21
Biden 50.0%
Trump 42.0%
Change ResearchLV 9/20
Biden 51.0%
Trump 43.0%
Biden 50.0%
Trump 45.0%
Biden 46.0%
Trump 41.0%
Data for ProgressLV 9/19
Biden 50.0%
Trump 44.0%
IpsosLV 9/16
Biden 49.0%
Trump 44.0%
CiviqsRV 9/15
Biden 53.0%
Trump 42.0%
EPIC-MRALV 9/15
Biden 48.0%
Trump 40.0%
Morning ConsultLV 9/7
Biden 52.0%
Trump 42.0%
Change ResearchLV 9/6
Biden 49.0%
Trump 43.0%
Biden 52.87%
Trump 44.29%
Glengariff GroupLV 9/3
Biden 47.0%
Trump 42.3%
National Research Inc.LV 9/2
Biden 50.0%
Trump 44.0%
Morning ConsultLV 8/30
Biden 52.0%
Trump 42.0%
Change ResearchLV 8/23
Biden 50.0%
Trump 44.0%
Trafalgar GroupLV 8/23
Biden 45.2%
Trump 46.6%
CiviqsRV 8/17
Biden 49.0%
Trump 46.0%