Ohio 18 votes

We've got atossup

54%
46%
50.7%
49.3%
4.55
+1.4
Candidate Predicted Vote % Win Prob.
Donald Trump 50.7% 54%
Joe Biden 49.3% 46%

About Ohio

Ohio was a major battleground state in the past election due to the closeness of the vote. It is located in the midwestern United States. Important issues in Ohio include abortion and second amendment rights. Seven past US Presidents were from Ohio. The first professional baseball team was founded in Cincinnati: the Cincinnati Red Stockings.

Chance of winning over time

We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.

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Nov 3

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Demographically similar states

All states

Past Election History

2016
Clinton 43.6% Trump 51.7%
2012
Obama 50.7% Romney 47.7%
2008
Obama 51.5% McCain 46.9%
2004
Kerry 48.7% Bush 50.8%
2000
Gore 46.5% Bush 50%

Recent polls

Research Co.LV 11/1
Biden 47.0% Trump 47.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchLV 11/1
Biden 45.0% Trump 49.0%
CiviqsLV 11/1
Biden 48.0% Trump 49.0%
Quinnipiac UniversityLV 11/1
Biden 47.0% Trump 43.0%
Trafalgar GroupLV 10/31
Biden 44.4% Trump 49.2%
Emerson CollegeLV 10/31
Biden 49.6% Trump 48.7%
Morning ConsultLV 10/31
Biden 46.6% Trump 49.2%
AtlasIntelLV 10/30
Biden 46.5% Trump 50.4%
Gravis MarketingLV 10/28
Biden 47.0% Trump 49.0%
Quinnipiac UniversityLV 10/27
Biden 48.0% Trump 43.0%
Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchRV 10/20
Biden 44.0% Trump 46.0%
Morning ConsultLV 10/20
Biden 47.0% Trump 49.0%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchLV 10/19
Biden 48.0% Trump 47.0%
Quinnipiac UniversityLV 10/12
Biden 48.0% Trump 47.0%
CiviqsLV 10/11
Biden 47.0% Trump 50.0%
Morning ConsultLV 10/11
Biden 46.0% Trump 49.0%
Baldwin Wallace UniversityLV 10/8
Biden 45.4% Trump 47.0%
Siena College/The New York Times UpshotLV 10/6
Biden 45.0% Trump 44.0%
Trafalgar GroupLV 10/3
Biden 43.9% Trump 47.6%
YouGovLV 10/2
Biden 47.0% Trump 47.0%
OnMessage Inc.LV 10/1
Biden 47.0% Trump 47.5%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research GroupLV 9/27
Biden 47.0% Trump 49.0%
Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchRV 9/23
Biden 49.0% Trump 44.0%
Baldwin Wallace UniversityLV 9/22
Biden 44.9% Trump 44.3%
Quinnipiac UniversityLV 9/21
Biden 48.0% Trump 47.0%
CiviqsRV 9/15
Biden 45.0% Trump 48.0%
Morning ConsultLV 9/7
Biden 45.0% Trump 50.0%
OnMessage Inc.LV 9/3
Biden 44.8% Trump 50.5%
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion ResearchLV 9/2
Biden 50.87% Trump 47.04%
ALG ResearchLV 9/1
Biden 48.0% Trump 46.0%
Morning ConsultLV 8/30
Biden 45.0% Trump 50.0%
CiviqsRV 8/17
Biden 47.0% Trump 47.0%
Polls consist of LV and RV polls ranked C and above gathered by FiveThirtyEight.

Presidential Election Model 2020

About Us

ORACLE of Blair is a project by seniors at Montgomery Blair High School in Silver Spring, Maryland. It was created during the Fall 2020 Political Statistics course taught by Mr. David Stein. Questions for the students about the model can be sent to mbhs.polistat@gmail.com, while Mr. Stein can be reached directly through the Blair website.

Please Note

Any views or opinions expressed on this site are those of the students in Montgomery Blair High School's 2020 Political Statistics class and do not necessarily reflect the official position of Montgomery Blair High School.