Missouri 10 votes


Trump is favored to win

75%
25%
54.0%
46.0%
9.62
+8.0
Candidate Predicted Vote % Win Prob.
Donald Trump 54.0% 75%
Joe Biden 46.0% 25%

About Missouri

Missouri is the 'Show-Me State' located just west of Illinois with a strong Republican-leaning population. Hot button issues in the coming election for the state include police brutality, racism, and rebuilding cities. While 97.4% of land in Missouri is rural, just under 70% of the population lives in the cities. Brought to statehood in 1821, this state is known as the 'Mother of the West' and contains the oldest college west of the Mississippi river. Missouri was home to the 33rd president of the United States, Harry Truman.


Chance of winning over time

We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.

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Nov 3

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Demographically similar states

All states


Past Election History

Clinton 38.1% Trump 56.8%
Obama 44.3% Romney 53.9%
Obama 49.3% McCain 49.4%
Kerry 46.1% Bush 53.3%
Gore 47.1% Bush 50.4%

Recent polls

Biden 42.9% Trump 52.3%
Biden 45.0% Trump 50.0%
Biden 45.0% Trump 51.0%
YouGovLV 10/7
Biden 43.2% Trump 51.8%
Biden 48.0% Trump 50.0%
Biden 46.0% Trump 51.0%
Biden 45.0% Trump 53.0%
Biden 44.0% Trump 49.0%
Biden 41.2% Trump 51.9%
Polls consist of LV and RV polls ranked C and above gathered by FiveThirtyEight.