New Mexico 5 votes
Biden is favored to win
20%
80%
44.4%
55.6%
-4.14
-11.2
| Candidate | Predicted Vote % | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 44.4% | 20% |
| Joe Biden | 55.6% | 80% |
About New Mexico
New Mexico has historically leaned blue. All current representatives and senators from New Mexico are democrats. The state has voted for the democratic presidential candidate in the past 3 elections. New Mexico has a large Native American population. In New Mexico, it is illegal to trip a horse.
Chance of winning over time
We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.
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Nov 3
Oct 12
Past Election History
Clinton 48.3%
Trump 40.0%
Obama 53.0%
Romney 42.8%
Obama 56.9%
McCain 41.8%
Kerry 49.1%
Bush 49.8%
Gore 47.9%
Bush 47.9%
Recent polls
Research & Polling Inc.LV 10/29
Biden 54.0%
Trump 42.0%
GBAOLV 10/17
Biden 54.0%
Trump 41.0%
Public Policy PollingLV 10/1
Biden 53.0%
Trump 39.0%
Research & Polling Inc.LV 9/2
Biden 54.0%
Trump 39.0%