Nevada 6 votes
Biden is favored to win
32%
68%
47.1%
52.9%
0.12
-5.7
| Candidate | Predicted Vote % | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 47.1% | 32% |
| Joe Biden | 52.9% | 68% |
About Nevada
Nevada is a state located in the western part of the country. Due to its location in the Great Basin, the state is the driest in America. The state holds 6 electoral votes, and has historically been Republican; however, Nevada has voted for the Democratic candidate in the last three presidential elections. 29.2% of Nevada's population identifies as Hispanic. Fun Fact: Rare fish such as the Devils Hole pupfish live in Nevadan prehistoric lakes.
Chance of winning over time
We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.
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Nov 3
Oct 12
Past Election History
Clinton 47.9%
Trump 45.5%
Obama 52.3%
Romney 45.7%
Obama 55.2%
McCain 42.7%
Kerry 47.9%
Bush 50.1%
Gore 46%
Bush 49.5%
Recent polls
Data for ProgressLV 11/1
Biden 51.0%
Trump 44.0%
Emerson CollegeLV 10/31
Biden 48.9%
Trump 47.2%
Trafalgar GroupLV 10/29
Biden 49.4%
Trump 47.1%
Gravis MarketingLV 10/28
Biden 50.0%
Trump 44.0%
Biden 49.0%
Trump 43.0%
CiviqsLV 10/20
Biden 52.0%
Trump 43.0%
WPA Intelligence (WPAi)LV 10/11
Biden 44.0%
Trump 42.0%
YouGovLV 10/9
Biden 52.0%
Trump 46.0%
Biden 48.0%
Trump 42.0%
Biden 49.0%
Trump 48.0%
Biden 50.0%
Trump 40.0%
ALG ResearchLV 9/21
Biden 47.0%
Trump 43.0%
Biden 46.0%
Trump 42.0%