Alabama 9 votes
Trump is favored to win
96%
4%
61.4%
38.6%
14.53
+22.8
| Candidate | Predicted Vote % | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 61.4% | 96% |
| Joe Biden | 38.6% | 4% |
About Alabama
Alabama is a strong republican state with a long history of electing republican representatives. The exceptions to this are the cities of Montgomery and Birmingham where the population tends to vote democratic. Hot button issues in Alabama are abortion and education laws. Currently, voters may request absentee ballots with COVID-19 as an acceptable reason, but specific ID is required for the request and two witnesses must sign on the absentee ballot making it more difficult to vote. Alabama has had high COVID-19 severity with ~160,000 cases and ~2,600 deaths as of October 7th 2020.
Chance of winning over time
We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.
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Nov 3
Oct 12
Past Election History
Clinton 34.4%
Trump 62.1%
Obama 38.4%
Romney 60.6%
Obama 38.7%
McCain 60.3%
Kerry 36.8%
Bush 62.5%
Gore 41.6%
Bush 56.5%
Recent polls
Data for ProgressLV 11/1
Biden 38.0%
Trump 58.0%
Moore InformationLV 10/14
Biden 38.0%
Trump 55.0%
The Tyson GroupLV 8/19
Biden 44.0%
Trump 48.0%