Mississippi 6 votes
Trump is favored to win
| Candidate | Predicted Vote % | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 57.8% | 83% |
| Joe Biden | 42.2% | 17% |
About Mississippi
Mississippi has historically leaned Republican, consistently voting for Republican candidates in House and Presidential elections between 2008 and 2018. All down ballot races are solid, with no predicted Democratic Senators and only one out of four House races leaning Democrat. It has a fairly high black population at 37.80% and a low college education rate at 21.80%. The cost of voting index of 1.30 is high: an ID is required and mail-in ballots are only provided to absentees and people in quarantine. Hot button issues include public education, healthcare, roads, and taxes. Fun fact: Mississippi's flag is currently being redesigned and will be voted on in the upcoming election.
Chance of winning over time
We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.
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Nov 3
Oct 12