Arizona 11 votes
Biden is favored to win
| Candidate | Predicted Vote % | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 48.6% | 41% |
| Joe Biden | 51.4% | 59% |
About Arizona
Arizona has three main regions being the northwestern Colorado Plateau, a transition mountainous region, and the southern basin, where most major cities reside. Being on the border, Arizona has an incredibly high proportion of Hispanics, nearly 31.7%. This year, the Democrats are aiming to maintain control of the House majority and Republican Senator Martha McSally is trying to hold on to her Senate seat. Hot button issues in Arizona include education reform, border security, and healthcare. Interestingly, out of all the states, Arizona has the largest percentage of land set aside for Native Americans, leading to a very high 5.3% of Native Americans as well.
Chance of winning over time
We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.
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Nov 3
Oct 12