Georgia 16 votes


We've got atossup

49%
51%
49.8%
50.2%
4.99
-0.4
Candidate Predicted Vote % Win Prob.
Donald Trump 49.8% 49%
Joe Biden 50.2% 51%

About Georgia

Georgia has 159 counties—more than any other state east of the Mississippi River. The state generally leans to the right. However, their voter base is often split right down the middle, which chalks up to some pretty close races. Both of Georgia’s incumbent Senators face well-funded challengers, so keep a close eye this November. Fun Fact: Georgia also had a "three governors controversy" from 1946 to 1947. Their governor-elect, Eugene Talmadge, died before stepping into office. The General Assembly elected his son to replace him, while the newly elected lieutenant governor and outgoing governor both refused to give up the seat. So they had three governors for a while!


Chance of winning over time

We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.

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Nov 3

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Demographically similar states

All states


Past Election History

Clinton 45.6% Trump 50.8%
Obama 45.5% Romney 53.3%
Obama 47% McCain 52.2%
Kerry 41.4% Bush 58%
Gore 43% Bush 54.7%

Recent polls

Biden 46.1% Trump 48.1%
Biden 46.0% Trump 50.1%
Biden 50.0% Trump 48.0%
AtlasIntelLV 10/31
Biden 46.1% Trump 48.3%
Biden 48.8% Trump 49.4%
Biden 48.8% Trump 46.4%
Biden 47.0% Trump 48.0%
Biden 50.0% Trump 45.0%
YouGovLV 10/27
Biden 48.0% Trump 47.0%
CiviqsLV 10/26
Biden 51.0% Trump 46.0%
YouGovLV 10/23
Biden 49.0% Trump 49.0%
Biden 46.5% Trump 46.2%
Biden 45.0% Trump 49.0%
Biden 48.0% Trump 48.0%
Biden 47.0% Trump 48.4%
Biden 45.0% Trump 45.0%
Biden 49.0% Trump 45.0%
Biden 51.0% Trump 44.0%
SurveyUSALV 10/12
Biden 48.0% Trump 46.0%
Biden 51.0% Trump 44.0%
Biden 46.0% Trump 46.0%
Biden 47.0% Trump 49.0%
Biden 46.8% Trump 48.6%
Biden 46.4% Trump 47.5%
Biden 46.6% Trump 44.9%
CiviqsLV 9/29
Biden 50.0% Trump 47.0%
Biden 50.0% Trump 47.0%
Biden 50.0% Trump 47.0%
YouGovLV 9/25
Biden 46.0% Trump 47.0%
Biden 46.0% Trump 47.0%
Biden 45.0% Trump 45.0%
Biden 47.0% Trump 47.3%
Biden 46.0% Trump 46.0%
GBAOLV 9/16
Biden 49.0% Trump 46.0%
Biden 46.0% Trump 48.0%
Biden 46.0% Trump 46.0%
Biden 40.5% Trump 47.9%
Biden 49.0% Trump 46.0%
Biden 52.24% Trump 46.02%
Biden 44.5% Trump 47.4%
Polls consist of LV and RV polls ranked C and above gathered by FiveThirtyEight.