Vermont 3 votes


Biden is favored to win

1%
99%
37.4%
62.6%
-15.75
-25.3
Candidate Predicted Vote % Win Prob.
Donald Trump 37.4% 1%
Joe Biden 62.6% 99%

About Vermont

Vermont is reliably Democratic in national elections and the state legislature has been primarily Democratic since the mid-1980s. Hot button issues in Vermont include climate change–specifically the carbon tax–and the growth and sale of marijuana. Fun Facts: Vermont is the home of maple syrup and Ben and Jerry's Ice Cream. There is only one telephone area code in the state (802) and they are very proud of it.


Chance of winning over time

We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.

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Nov 3

Oct 12


Demographically similar states

All states


Past Election History

Clinton 55.7% Trump 29.8%
Obama 66.6% Romney 31%
Obama 67.5% McCain 30.4%
Kerry 58.9% Bush 38.8%
Gore 50.6% Bush 40.7%

Recent polls

co/efficientLV 10/20
Biden 62.0% Trump 32.0%
Biden 55.73% Trump 32.46%
Polls consist of LV and RV polls ranked C and above gathered by FiveThirtyEight.